Jonathan Taylor Next Team Odds: Who Trades for the Colts Running Back?

onathan Taylor sounded like a guy saying goodbye on Sunday.

After the Colts lost 27-23 to Dallas, Taylor told reporters he’d enjoyed his time in Indianapolis. That’s an odd thing to say about a team you’re still on. Indy hasn’t made a decision, and the deadline is tomorrow at 4 p.m. ET.

He’s still our pick for the biggest move of deadline week. The Colts are 2-7 and have already dealt Quenton Nelson and DeForest Buckner. Taylor is the biggest chip they’ve got left.

No sportsbook has a market up on this, so we built our own. Here’s how we’d price it. If you want to see where real NFL lines are posted, check our best NFL betting sites and apps.

Jonathan Taylor Next Team Odds

Odds are Mr. Gamble projections as of November 9, 2026, and aren’t available at sportsbooks.

Why Is Taylor Next Out the Door?

Because the Colts are done with 2026, and he’s worth the most right now.

Chris Ballard is gone. Nelson’s in Seattle, Buckner’s in San Francisco, and Josh Downs wants out. Nothing about 2-7 gets fixed this year.

Taylor turns 28 in January. Running backs don’t age well, and this is about as high as his value gets.

He never asked out. He’s said he’s “proud to wear the horseshoe,” and owner Carlie Irsay-Gordon reportedly loves the guy. But the reports are split. Ian Rapoport said Thursday the Colts see him as part of their future, ESPN’s Stephen Holder still expects a trade before the deadline, and another report has Indy taking the best offer it gets.

And the Colts don’t have their 2027 first after the Sauce Gardner deal. That’s a big reason to listen.

What Will It Cost?

Way more than Downs.

The Colts have been asking for a first, or a McCaffrey-sized package. That’s what the 49ers paid Carolina in 2022: a second, third, fourth and fifth across two drafts.

Nobody’s there yet. Indy turned down a second and a fifth, and Jay Glazer says the Giants have since pulled it. Schefter and Rapoport reported Saturday that the Colts do have a second-round offer with more attached. Albert Breer thinks the price might be a bit too steep.

Then there’s the money. Taylor signed a two-year, $44 million extension in August, and moving him would reportedly leave Indy with around $10 million in dead cap.

So this isn’t a deal every contender can make. It’s for teams with picks, cap room and a real hole in the backfield.

Denver Broncos, +200

This is the new favorite, but it’s not a lock.

The Ringer has Denver as the lead suitor. James Palmer reported the Broncos jumped in early, and one DNVR podcast host said they’d do “everything in their power” to land him. They need a back, too, since the run game has struggled all year.

Picks are the catch. Denver has dealt a lot of firsts in recent years, and the Colts would probably ask for rookie RB Jonah Coleman in any deal. That’s a tough sell.

Still, we think a lot of the back-and-forth is posturing.

Green Bay Packers, +350

The Packers are the biggest mover on the board.

Green Bay has been on this list since the first reports, and Rapoport named the Packers among the early callers. Now one report has them prepared to make a strong offer. We haven’t seen that confirmed anywhere else, so they sit behind Denver for now.

Minnesota Vikings, +400

They’ve slid from the favorite, and it’s mostly about noise.

The need hasn’t changed. Aaron Jones has been playing through a knee issue, and Jordan Mason fractured his thumb earlier this year. Breer has said the Vikings and Giants were the most aggressive teams shopping for backs.

What changed is the volume. Denver and Green Bay are the loud ones now, and Minnesota’s gone quiet. Taylor would still give them a real engine on offense.

Stays with Colts, +450

This was close to a coin flip last week. We don’t think it is anymore.

Rapoport said Thursday that talks had stalled. And Taylor’s under contract, so if nobody pays, Indy can just keep him. That’s a real possibility.

But the team is 2-7, a second-round offer is reportedly out there, and Taylor’s comments Sunday didn’t sound like a guy planning to be around in January. If someone shows up with a McCaffrey-type package, we think the Colts take it.

New York Giants, +700

Their stock fell Sunday.

Glazer reported that the Giants offered a second and a fifth, then pulled it. They’ll only talk now if Indy lowers its price. Before that, Breer had New York right there with Minnesota as the most aggressive back shoppers.

John Harbaugh wants to run the ball, and Taylor next to Cam Skattebo would be a nasty one-two punch. But a team that just walked away isn’t one we’d bet on.

The Rest of the Board

Seattle is +1000. The Seahawks already did the Nelson deal with Indy, so the phone lines are open, and The Ringer lists them as a backup. But Zach Charbonnet is working back from a torn ACL, and first-round rookie Jadarian Price is close to returning from a shoulder injury. It’s hard to see them spending big.

Cincinnati is +1600. Jordan Schultz named the Bengals among the teams going after Taylor hard, but linebacker looks like the bigger need.

New England is +2500 because Tom Pelissero listed the Patriots among the teams that called, and that’s about all there is.

When Will We Know?

Tomorrow at 4 p.m. ET.

If the Colts want a first and nobody blinks, he stays. That’s what we’d watch.

Downs could move too. Indy opened at a third-round pick for him and has told teams it has a fourth-round offer. If you’re asking which one goes first, Downs is still the easier deal. But Taylor is the one everybody’s watching.

Want to take a position on trade-deadline outcomes like this one? Event contracts are listed on prediction markets, and our prediction market promo codes page compares the current sign-up offers.

Odds are for entertainment purposes only. Must be 21+ to gamble. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.