No head coach got fired this week. After the last three weeks, that almost feels weird. Coordinators took the hit instead, at Oklahoma, Nebraska and Michigan.
Greg Schiano is the favorite now. Rutgers lost 31-10 at Wisconsin on Saturday, and then his own athletic director went on the record saying “something is not working.” She didn’t use his name. She didn’t have to.
Next College Football Coach Fired Odds (Post-Week 10)
| Coach | Team | Week 10 Result | New Odds | Implied Probability | Week 9 Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Schiano | Rutgers | L, 10-31 at Wisconsin | +125 | 44.4% | +200 |
| Brent Key | Georgia Tech | L, 17-44 vs. Louisville | +300 | 25.0% | +450 |
| Deion Sanders | Colorado | L, 10-20 at Arizona State | +450 | 18.2% | +500 |
| Bill O’Brien | Boston College | L, 24-31 vs. Florida State | +600 | 14.3% | +700 |
| Sonny Dykes | TCU | L, 28-29 at Arizona | +1200 | 7.7% | New |
| Lance Leipold | Kansas | L, 32-33 vs. UCF | +1500 | 6.3% | +2000 |
| Matt Rhule | Nebraska | L, 13-24 at Illinois | +3000 | 3.2% | New |
| Bill Belichick | North Carolina | W, 38-21 at UConn | +4000 | 2.4% | +1000 |
Quick note: these are my own numbers, not live sportsbook lines. Check a licensed book before you bet any of it.
Schiano (+125)
Rutgers is 2-7 and 1-5 in the Big Ten, and the second straight losing season is now official. It was 10-10 late in the first half and then Wisconsin scored the last 21 points. A freshman, Ryan Hopkins, made his first career start and threw three touchdowns. Rutgers was without quarterback Dylan Lonergan, KJ Duff and two linemen, and the Scarlet Knights picked up a bunch of penalties, including one that wiped out an interception. Schiano called it “very disappointing.”
Then came the AD. Keli Zinn told a sports marketing firm that a program spending like a ninth-place team and finishing 14th has a problem. Schiano makes $6.9 million, ninth in the league. The buyout was reported last week at about $18.5 million if he goes after this season. Nebraska comes to Piscataway next.
Key (+300)
Georgia Tech lost 44-17 to Louisville at home. It was 27-3 and 306 yards to 66 before the half was even over. The Jackets are 2-7, 1-5 in the ACC, and it’s their fourth straight loss. They won’t make a bowl for the first time in Key’s four full seasons. He said afterward he was “damn pissed off” and called it “a joke.” Clemson is next, then Wake Forest, then Georgia.
Sanders (+450)
Colorado got shut out in the first half at Arizona State, was down 17-0, and lost 20-10. A week after beating Kansas State in overtime, the Buffs are 3-6 and 1-5 in the Big 12. Isaac Wilson went 20-of-31 for 248 yards with a touchdown and a pick. Houston visits Friday night.
O’Brien (+600)
Boston College led Florida State 10-0 and still lost 31-24. FSU, with an interim coach and nothing to lose, scored on a fake field goal where the holder threw to the kicker. O’Brien called that one “brutal by us.” BC is 4-5, 2-4 in the ACC, with Notre Dame, Syracuse and Miami left. He also said he has “absolutely no control over the schedule.”
Dykes (+1200)
New to the list. TCU led Arizona 28-20 in the fourth and lost 29-28 on Friday night. Arizona scored with 1:45 left, missed the 2-point try, then recovered an onside kick and hit a 37-yard field goal with 39 seconds to go. The Frogs are 4-5 and 2-4 in the Big 12. Dykes called it “a frustrating year” with “a lot of close games” lost.
Rhule (+3000)
Also new. Nebraska started 5-0 and has lost four straight (Indiana, Oregon, Washington and now Illinois, 24-13). Rhule fired offensive coordinator Dana Holgorsen after this one and said more changes could come. The reporting I found didn’t say anything about Rhule’s own job. Nebraska goes to Rutgers next, then hosts Ohio State.
Everybody else
Leipold (+1500) had Kansas up 32-26 with 1:06 left. UCF went 73 yards and scored on a 6-yard pass with one second on the clock, and it ended 33-32. The Jayhawks are 3-6, 1-5 in the Big 12. That one’s going to sting for a while.
Belichick (+4000) got his win. North Carolina beat UConn 38-21 and is 5-4, with a 62-yard pick-six from Timir Hickman-Collins in the first quarter. Louisville visits next Saturday night.
Two guys fell off the board. Oklahoma’s Brent Venables (+3000) won 23-7 at Florida, with Jason Witten calling plays after the Sooners fired their offensive coordinator, and they’re 5-4. And Wisconsin’s Luke Fickell (+10000) beat Rutgers to become bowl eligible for the first time since 2023. The Badgers are 6-3 and head to Maryland next.
Who’s been fired
No head coaches since last week. The list so far:
Locksley, Maryland (Oct. 21). Doeren, NC State (Oct. 24). Aranda, Baylor (Oct. 25). Longo, Sam Houston (Oct. 28). Norvell, Florida State (Nov. 1).
The coordinators who went this week were Ben Arbuckle at Oklahoma (Nov. 2), Dana Holgorsen at Nebraska (Nov. 7) and Jason Beck at Michigan (Sunday). One more note: NC State is reportedly moving forward with Philip Rivers as its next head coach.
Odds and implied probabilities are for informational purposes only. Confirm current lines with a licensed sportsbook before betting, and gamble responsibly.
