First NFL Team Eliminated From Playoffs Odds After Week 9

The Chargers finally scored a touchdown. Took them 37 drives.

They still lost 44-22 to Houston, and now they’re 0-8. Fans at SoFi were booing by the third quarter.

The other teams near the bottom didn’t help themselves much either. Miami lost to Detroit. Philly dropped a seventh straight. Tennessee sat home on a bye, which honestly might have been its best week of the year.

On Kalshi, every team on this board is priced at 3% or worse to make the playoffs.

Here’s the updated board going into Week 10:

First Team Eliminated From Playoff Contention Odds

Odds are Mr. Gamble editorial odds, built off the latest Kalshi playoff prices as of Nov. 9. No sportsbook currently posts this market.

Los Angeles Chargers, +110

Almost even money now. That tells you where this thing is headed.

Houston sacked Justin Herbert eight times. C.J. Stroud threw for 384 yards and five TDs, and he got to sit for most of the fourth quarter.

Mike McDaniel even moved upstairs to call plays from the booth. Didn’t matter. The only real positive was Herbert’s 58-yarder to Quentin Johnston, which ended a touchdown drought going back to Week 5.

Herbert left after that throw with something wrong with his non-throwing hand. Keep an eye on that.

Here’s why they’re the clear favorite: at 0-8, the best LA can finish is 9-8. Everyone else on this board can still get to 10.

Next up is a Monday night trip to Baltimore. Then the Jets and Patriots.

Tennessee Titans, +350

The Titans didn’t play, so they didn’t lose. Small wins.

They’re still 1-7, and they just traded away Jeffery Simmons. Jacksonville comes to Nashville on Sunday, and Kalshi gives the Titans about a 19% chance to win that one.

The Jags play them twice in the next three weeks, too. That’s a rough little stretch for a team trying to stay out of this conversation.

Miami Dolphins, +450

Miami’s defense actually showed up against Detroit. Held a top-three scoring offense without a touchdown until late in the third quarter.

The offense? Not so much. Malik Willis threw for 128 yards and a pick. The Dolphins doinked a 38-yard field goal off the upright right before halftime. Later they got to Detroit’s 7, took two sacks and settled for three.

Lions won 19-9. Miami’s 1-7.

Now here’s the fun part. The Dolphins go to Indianapolis this week, and the Colts are 2-7. Whoever loses that one is in real trouble here.

Philadelphia Eagles, +1000

Seven straight losses. Yeah, this is real.

Joe Milton made his first start against the Giants and got sacked seven times. The Eagles went three-and-out on seven of their 13 drives and lost 19-11 at home.

Nick Sirianni wouldn’t rule out staff changes afterward. And Philly sent Jordan Davis to Jacksonville at the deadline, which doesn’t exactly scream “we’re making a push.”

The Eagles have a bye this week. That buys them seven days, nothing more.

The Field, +1000

The Colts are the biggest threat in here. They’re 2-7 after Dallas came back to beat them 27-23, and they’ve been selling off pieces. That Miami game this weekend is massive for this market.

The Jets are 2-7 too after getting rolled 35-12 in Kansas City. Buffalo’s next.

Arizona (3-6) lost 17-3 in Seattle, and Gardner Minshew reportedly needs season-ending elbow surgery. Rookie Carson Beck looks like the guy now. Washington (2-5-1) is hanging around too.

When Will We Know?

We’re getting closer. Elimination means there’s no path left even if you win out, and late November is still the earliest we’d expect it.

Week 10 games to watch:

• Chargers at Ravens (Monday): 0-9 is very much on the table.
• Dolphins at Colts: The loser takes a big step toward the top of this board.
• Jaguars at Titans: Tennessee’s a big home underdog.
• Bills at Jets: New York could hit 2-8.

If the Chargers lose in Baltimore, they’ll head into Week 11 needing to win out just to finish 8-9.

Odds are for entertainment purposes and subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.