Josh Sweat Next Team Odds: Who Trades for the Cardinals Pass Rusher?

Josh Sweat has reportedly wanted out of Arizona since the spring, and the trade deadline is tomorrow at 4 p.m. ET. The Cardinals are 3-6 and already selling, but they don’t have to move him.

No sportsbook has a market up on this, so we built our own. Here’s how we’d price it. If you want to see where real NFL lines are posted, check our best NFL betting sites and apps.

Josh Sweat Next Team Odds

TeamOddsImplied Probability
Stays with Cardinals+14041.7%
Dallas Cowboys+22530.8%
Chicago Bears+50016.7%
Green Bay Packers+70012.5%
San Francisco 49ers+90010.0%
Buffalo Bills+12007.7%
Field+12007.7%
New England Patriots+20004.8%

Odds are Mr. Gamble projections as of November 9, 2026, and aren’t available at sportsbooks.

Why Is Sweat on the Block?

Honestly, this has been building since the spring.

Sweat signed with Arizona in March 2025 (four years, $76.4 million) mostly because Jonathan Gannon was there. Gannon got fired. Sweat reportedly asked for a trade not long after, and he’d like a new deal too.

Arizona didn’t budge. GM Monti Ossenfort said in camp they had zero interest in moving him, and they meant it at the time.

Things look a lot different at 3-6, though. Arizona already sent Marvin Harrison Jr. to Houston in October, and on Friday it traded Jacoby Brissett to Baltimore for a fourth and a seventh. That’s a team building toward something down the road, and a 29-year-old pass rusher isn’t really part of that.

Jordan Schultz reported last week that Sweat would be happy to get moved before the deadline.

Why He Might Stay

We’ve still got staying as the favorite, but it’s closer than it was last week.

That same Schultz report said Arizona has given off the vibe that it’s fine hanging onto him, and the asking price is supposedly high. They didn’t trade him in the summer when he asked. Nothing says they have to now.

Also, who’s rushing the passer if he leaves? He’s their best edge guy and the depth behind him is thin.

What Will It Cost?

A lot more than a rental would.

Whoever gets him isn’t just getting him for half a season. He’s signed through 2028.

This year’s money is easy, since only what’s left of his 2026 salary comes along. Next year and the year after are a different story, with cap hits over $23 million both seasons.

Early on, people were talking about a Day 2 pick at minimum. That number probably isn’t going down. Maxx Crosby is staying in Vegas and the Chargers say Khalil Mack isn’t going anywhere, so Sweat might be the best edge rusher you can actually get.

Is Sweat Still Good?

Yeah, for the most part.

Last year he had 12 sacks, a career high, on a team that went 3-14. He’s had six or more sacks six seasons in a row.

2026 got off to a slow start. He had three sacks through the first eight games, and every one of them came in the last five, so he was heating up right when teams started shopping.

Dallas Cowboys, +225

Everybody’s first guess, and for good reason.

Adam Schefter flagged Dallas as the team to watch, and the Cowboys saw Sweat up close on Nov. 1. Arizona won 33-30 in OT, and Sweat had a hand in finishing it off.

That defense needs help. Crosby is off the board, Mack apparently is too, so Sweat is the natural next call. And Jerry Jones loves a splash.

Picks are the issue. Dallas already shipped a 2028 second to Pittsburgh back in October and has only four 2027 picks left (a first, a second, a fourth and a seventh). If Arizona wants real value, that first might have to be in play.

Then again, they’re 4-5 after beating the Colts on Sunday, which keeps them in the conversation. The Ringer has Tampa Bay’s Yaya Diaby as the fallback if Sweat falls through.

Chicago Bears, +500

Chicago’s not messing around this year.

They already sent two first-rounders to Tennessee for Jeffery Simmons, and Ian Rapoport says they’re still poking around on edge rushers. Jeremy Fowler listed them as a possible Sweat team too.

Nobody on this list has a better reason to buy. We just wonder how much they’ve got left to spend after the Simmons trade.

Green Bay Packers, +700

Our favorite storyline of the bunch.

Gannon is running the defense in Green Bay now. He coached Sweat in Philly, and he’s basically why Sweat signed in Arizona.

The Packers were connected to him over the summer too. Cap space makes it tricky, but you can see it.

San Francisco 49ers, +900

The Niners are buying. They already got DeForest Buckner from the Colts.

Fowler mentioned San Francisco as a fit for Sweat too. We’re just guessing they’ve used up a good part of their deadline budget already.

Buffalo Bills, +1200

Buffalo keeps getting named as a team that should go get an edge rusher, and Sweat’s name comes up in those conversations.

There’s no real reporting tying them together yet, though, so they’re long.

New England Patriots, +2000

They’ve shown up on a couple of landing-spot lists. Not much more than that.

When Will We Know?

By 4 p.m. ET tomorrow.

Arizona doesn’t play again before then, so that 17-3 loss at Seattle is the last thing the front office sees. Dallas beating the Colts could go either way. It might make them buyers, or it might just make them comfortable.

Bottom line, there’s a market for him. But Arizona doesn’t need to move him, so somebody’s going to have to pay up.

Sweat isn’t the only name to watch before the deadline. Check our odds for where Jonathan Taylor and Josh Downs could land.

Want to take a position on trade-deadline outcomes like this one? Event contracts are listed on prediction markets, and our prediction market promo codes page compares the current sign-up offers.

Odds are for entertainment purposes only. Must be 21+ to gamble. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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